Wednesday, November 24, 2010

The secret of the stock market lose money reprinted four - high fees do not come with high return software

 Lead  teeth Spain won the World Cup is over. Month fleeting, joy which has disappointed early exit against Italy but Nuqibuzheng sorry, I do not know under the leadership of new coach, a former fourth champion can make a comeback; the siren song of joy for Germany like crazy, although they eventually lost the championship in the foot, but the young team and I hope that after four years; of Diego Maradona's Argentina is full of longing However, after being run over the body of the German tanks deeply people feel helpless; final victory against Spain in awe and break the spell of the matador show the world the infinite charm to control the football. and our stock market is not over yet We do not have the opportunity once every four years, only a day's work, looking forward, always followed the broader market fluctuating constantly adjust their pulse, did not allow us the opportunity to take a break. retail is already making money in this environment is not easy,cheap UGG boots, but also constantly being around some impact, disrupt, mislead the direction of our investment. Now the stock market than most major software companies fire advocated level2 data, the number of the hundreds of million of us can really bring up the corresponding high return ?
Level2 data of the mass?
the domestic stock market has been providing real-time quotes are single, it is difficult to meet the different needs of different types of investors, in order to solve this problem, the level-1 data based on the five-speed market , level-2 data came into being. Level-2 provided the early days of the Shanghai Stock Exchange securities products,UGG boots clearance, real-time transaction data, is also the Shenzhen Stock Exchange began offering the same data. including the ten market stalls, the sale of the queue, case by case basis transaction, the total commission and the weighted price and other new data. Among them, case by case basis transaction, the sale of a file and the first 50 document details the top ten records of the three withdrawals, level2 data is the most significant features of the data. These really can help investors to more clearly understand the changes in the market ..
the same time, the software company based manufacturers were traded on the case by case basis to determine the direction, provides a small single person, in a single, large single, large single-volume, early to the number of lots subject, the recent turnover is the subject, and a small single retail counterparts, corresponding to the main force of single, large single or large single counterparts, thus forming a so-called point of retail sale, private equity and institutional point of sale point of sale. use of retail tracking mechanism of mind, The main selling point on the banker, the major, large single real-time trading data to investors, > Progressive? is waiting for the rest of the money at the number on the kang.
data from the net you can identify the main trends?
Xiaobian more realistic feel to the charm of level2 data, get yourself a set of current well-known software to use, of course, because the price is too expensive, look to twenty thousand dollars in it had borrowed from a friend of a used account. In use, and conducted exchanges with some friends around and found that all the main capital of the net more concerned about, such as a stock that the main financial net worth is positive, that funds are flowing into the main, that in accordance with our mindset should be immediately followed up at this time; the contrary, found that when the main net outflow of funds must not Sign gallop. But whether this is the description of the net, we give an example, you can glance.
assume a stock, today the main net inflows of 500 million, say what? main force into it? Not necessarily. If the main the amount of 1,000 million to buy and sell the capacity of 500 million, we can say that the main force in the entry; if the amount of the main buying 1 billion and sold a volume of 95 million yuan, from the numerical perspective, remains the main net inflows of 500 million, but two 500 million, but the worse the meaning behind the eight-Zhang Yuan.
In addition, each single data open the software see the big time is different, so it is possible to recover to the last big one, then you would definitely was stuck, and, now agent level2 data there are dozens of companies, so many people know that the direction is the same as when there is no direction. So do not be a large single data confusion, relying solely on superstition can not determine the main flow of funds is the main force of the operation.
main trends of funds has a relationship with the stock price up?
some people will say I am above question, fool, I spent so much money do look at a net? I can see the sale of the specific values of ah? Is not that what you said is not established. at least a little of your investments can also find some reason. we follow your train of thought to, assuming we can now determine the true direction of the main funding, and that the main point for buying and selling individual stocks are most concerned about the retail price m what extent the number m of it?
Table 1 the main (big one) trading relationship with the stock (data from the daily surplus Technology)
top of the table is through the statistics since January 2010, 1724 stocks, each stock of large single data 131 days after the statistical formula of science. maybe you do not understand a bit, so Xiaobian to explain to you.
Pearson correlation: the stock market the most is digital, and now also advocated level2 data more tightly with the operating data to the main investment, then we must look at the main flow of funds and stocks necessary link between the existence of, and what is the extent of this contact. In Statistics study appears, usually two things in the correlation values above 0.8, we can consider that there is strong correlation between the two; in between 0.8-0.7, you can identify the two are related; in between 0.7-0.6, depending on is a weak correlation; and when the correlation coefficient lower than 0.6, we can scientific and accurate that there is no necessary connection between the two, that is, the two will not affect each other. negative correlation is also true. < br> Table 1 has been clearly shows the largest single buy, a large order to sell, buy a large proportion of single and large single sale of four representatives of the main share of the value of capital flows and stocks rise within the next 5 days the correlation coefficient of 0.2 is not even that of such figures, naked and shows the main trends of funds no necessary connection between the individual stock price, therefore, the data show large single at the time to buy some of the stock price will rise, and some did not fluctuate, and even some in the fall. For example, the culmination of shares (600,882) in 2010, March 5 to March 15 between the main funding has continued to enter, but the stock price way down.
Figure 1 largest single purchase and sell a large single-scatter (data from surplus Technology daily)
shown in Figure 1, large single-buying and selling a large single-linearly related, that is, large single in bought at the same time, large single also sold, which directly shows that market making in the hedge, then come to the net even more the significance of individual investors is close to zero, and when you are operating in accordance with the net, it can only do the most cannon fodder in the bottom of the bottom.
Therefore,UGGs, relying solely on large sheets to determine the stock price is of no use. Please level2 businesses in promoting the sale of products, not to mislead investors in the.
addition to individual stocks, industries and For the broader market and the main funding you?
of price trends in the broader market's overall trend, the industry's rise and fall of stock prices is not the missing factor. So, the main trends of these two funds and the stock price is not the same, is completely take the world what it?
we select two more popular and stable industry for analysis. were finance and insurance industry and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, chose the two because of the stability of the analyst to do before analysis, the result shows the stability of these two industry analysts are quite different, in the whole of the two extremes, so we picked them as representatives for analysis, although some sweeping, but The statistics show that the probability of learning is the most simple and scientific way.
Table 2, the main (large single) and the related financial and insurance industry (data from the daily surplus Technology)
Table 3 the main (big one) and the relevance of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery (data from the daily surplus Technology)
In fact, in this experiment, we seem to have results from individual stocks to see the outcome, the fact is also true, that is, between the main and the industry is still no correlation.
Finally, we look at the broader market it.
Table 3 the main (large unit) associated with the broader market (data from the daily surplus Technology)
results of the same is true, does not matter.
As of this, the stock market a few of the more important data: the broader market, industry, stocks, funds on our main values one by one and made a correlation analysis, the results of people amazed. Should we spend thousands of dollars each year shareholders to buy things , turned out to be like this, fully that are not useful. In fact, it is not necessary to kill a stick, but Level-2 data there are many areas for improvement. And, all things both sides have points of view, to understand the operation of the main investment trend is certainly helpful, but absolutely no advertising on the so beautiful, so, as individual investors, we must remember that scientific and rational investment in investment is the most healthy. In addition, I hereby call for the majority of retail : But be sure to pay reasonable, investors should know that our investment is limited,bailey UGG boots, the majority of investors still in the investment cost below 10 million, so that they will be more than 20% of them used to buy software, they need to earn the number of limit-back , Care and harmony we need to work together to create the stock market.
2009 Figure 2 Distribution of the investors investment costs (data from the China Securities Clearing Center)

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