After 2010, China's economic achievements have brought new challenges, mainly from the pressure of inflation is relatively high, our government will be highly concerned about this. In 2008 to 2010, when, as we take a positive, relaxed fiscal policy, leading to higher inflationary pressures now, that monetary policy in 2011 will be adjusted above, from the relatively loose monetary policy to a neutral monetary policy to shift, thereby reducing inflationary pressures.
Zhiwu: 2011 key word is
2010, the In 2011, the word will continue to be used very much; the second word appears more is factors. On the low-income people, their rate of wage growth is not able to catch up with the pace of inflation, so for them, the faster inflation, their real income will decline faster, which is why neither China nor other countries, policymakers and special interest particularly concerned to continue the upward pressure on inflation, the potential of these problems, so China began by monetary policy and other policies, for some increase in inflationary pressures suppression measures.
Li Daokui: Euro 2011 will not be the collapse of asset prices around the world worried about a stronger
from the current position, in the world economy will fully recover in 2011,2012, and then continue to rise. Although today we all know, not just in China, in fact, in India and Latin American countries, but also in the United States, the rise in inflation was a lot of pressure. On the other hand, because we talk more over the past year is the sovereign debt crisis and the EU budget deficit problems, to be sure to drag the world economy some will continue to rise, this will delay the process of economic recovery, probably in the second half of 2011, or the inflection point will appear in the first half of 2012.
I believe the euro will not be the collapse, as long as Germany, Europe will not be a big problem, this is my first concern point. The second concern is the price point, the entire global asset prices, that is, the price of natural resources, I worry that oil prices will return to $ 100, even 120 dollars a barrel, if this occurs, then the impact of China's economy is.
the world economy in 2010, when entered into a recovery phase, and in 2010, when the pick-up from the bottom, so it is still the number of recovery stronger than originally anticipated. Into 2011, should the speed of recovery into a more normal growth rate, in accordance with our predictions, in 2010, global economic growth rate was 3.9%, then in 2010, could fall to 3.3%. Developing countries is concerned, the growth rate in 2010 was 7%, then in 2011, economic growth may be at 6%.
Lin Yifu: 2011 China will become the locomotive of world economic recovery
Weiying: to control inflation in 2011 is still the main problem facing the Chinese government
Zhiwu: 2011 inflationary pressures will continue to rise delay the economic recovery process
Martin Wolf: The world economy in 2011 will continue to increase inflation expectations in emerging economies will have a great appreciation of the currency pressure
2011, China's economy faces many challenges, including the joint response to inflation and excess investment over the past two years, the potential problems caused by the credit. In 2011, control of inflation remains a major problem facing the Government, to deal with inflation, the economy is likely to decline in the rate of increase, if this rate does not decline, it may be the next in 2012 and 2013, we will face more difficult.
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2010 changing the world economy, exchange rate of the dispute, smoke filled the air, the world economy in 2011 will be good?
addition to this issue, China is still a developing country in transition, like the issue of income distribution, social security system, environmental issues and problems of industrial upgrading can be reused, in 2010, when along the positive direction and we have to continue reforms, continue to develop. Overall, the economic development of China in 2011, we are still quite optimistic forecast, reaching 8.7%. Based on past experience, the estimate of 8.7%, mainly due to the economic development of our good, 8.7% is a high speed, may also be higher than this point, I also take this opportunity to worship with you my friends back home months early.
Lin Yifu: 2011 speed world economic recovery will return to more normal growth rate
Zhiwu: 2011 China may raise interest rates will be about three times
world economic recovery driven by investment and consumption growth in the financial and economic crisis, global economy can rebound faster recovery, but also the coordination with the improvements in the world economy. First of all, individual countries still adhere to the basic principles of free trade, coupled with economic coordination between countries is relatively good, which is the global economy after the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008 after the economic crisis triggered by rapid recovery to reasons.
some of the challenges that China faces, difficult, and these uncertain factors: on the one hand, China must be in foreign policy and international relations, to let China in the past 30 years, especially over the past 10 years, and enjoy very conducive to China's export growth of the international environment continues maintained. Second, China's inflation pressure should have more moves. The first step is to continue raising interest rates three times in 2011 there will be opportunities to raise interest rates around. In addition, a variety not only has the nature of consumer goods, but also with those of investment goods prices rose a lot in 2010, why have housing prices and rising commodity prices, one very important reason is that more money will have no place to vote, so in order to reduce inflationary pressures, not only to make interest, interest rates, while equally important is to channel investment to further relax.
For 2011, the world economy, there will be a good opportunity to continue in 2010 in three areas of development. 2011 will be a year of recovery, a division of the year, economic growth in developing countries is much higher than developed countries, the crisis will also be in the euro area. In addition, I expect the world economy, inflation is expected to continue to increase, especially in new forms of economy, it will lead to a number of countries have become more restrictive policy, thereby putting pressure on the exchange rate, especially emerging economies, their currencies in 2011 will have a great appreciation pressure.
Lin Yifu: 2011 in the monetary policy should be adjusted above, from the relatively loose monetary policy to a neutral monetary policy to shift, thereby reducing inflationary pressures
this round of global economic recovery, the biggest obstacle, in the past talked a lot about the EU is the debt crisis. Spain is a hot spot such as the current country, and their ratio of total debt of more than 100% of GDP in 2011 and 2010 budget deficit more than 10% of its GDP. Under the general reasoning, such a high deficit, high debt situation can no longer maintain, so the debt crisis of the European Union to the European Union in 2010, economic growth, export growth in these developing countries to bring some negative effects.
2011 years of world economic developments, the first one of the largest variable is the pressure of inflation continues to rise, which is within the scope of the world. Such as the United States because the United States in 2010 so far quantitative easing monetary policy, and not to the U.S. economy inflation. According to many fellow judge, as the U.S. economic recovery to end in 2011 when the banking system is estimated there are other financial system, under normal circumstances, the role of monetary amplification, to the end of the year 2011 will continue to recover. By this time, may increase inflationary pressures in the United States played a significant role in promoting. In 2011, China's inflation pressure will be very large, so this will be the 2011 World economy facing one of the biggest variables. But I personally think that is because we are worried about the challenge of inflation, so we will go to great importance to it, and then to take measures, through various policies on the rise in inflationary pressures to suppress.
feel the changing world economy, 2010, 2011, feel the pulse of global economic well-being. In the past year, the financial storm clouds have not dispersed, the European debt crisis of thunderstorms struck again, still faltering global economic recovery, monetary, exchange rate, trade, arguing yet renewed. Over the past year left the hot issues in the new year, what will continue? 2011, the world economy, what change would happen? Chen Weihong CCTV Financial Channel host and guest commentator World Bank chief economist Justin Yifu Lin, tenured professor at Yale University, Chen Zhiwu, a common comment.
Lin: The world economic recovery, mainly driven by investment and consumption growth
2010, China's main impact on the world is its rapid growth, according to our estimates, China's economic growth in 2011 can reach 10%, then in the global financial and economic crisis, China's growth of 10% stand out , which of course is to improve the income of China, so China's further up. Developed countries gradually move to the high-speed is a continuous strong momentum, while also helping the world's economic recovery. According to our forecasts, the region's economic growth in 2011 can reach 9.3%, so in terms of China in 2011, can be said that the world is a very important recovery of the locomotive.
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